Award: Woodrow Wilson
A Probabilistic Model for Optimal Soccer Shots
In soccer, a common strategy is to aim for the posts to maximize the chance of scoring a goal. If the player has perfect accuracy and mechanics, this makes perfect sense. However, mere mortals have to account for their own error and many external factors. This paper develops a probabilistic framework that will allow the analysis of open play situations in soccer and give a more accurate description of where players should aim their shots at for any game situation.
Mentor: John C. Wierman, Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics