Robert J. Barbera and Jonathan H. Wright We’ve written two pieces recently on Treasury yields amid the COVID recovery. Wednesday’s release of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee’s Survey of […]
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Author Archives: CFEGuru
Beware of Seasonal Adjustment
By Kevin Heerdt and Jonathan H. Wright Economic data released by the government and other entities are being distorted by normally acceptable statistical methods. The extreme economic data that are […]
China’s 2018 Economic Slowdown: Much Worse than the Official Tally
By Robert Barbera and Yingyao Hu Our nighttime illumination estimate for 2018 Chinese growth, 4.2%, is roughly one third weaker than the Chinese official claim of a 6.5% climb for […]
China’s Slowdown: More There than Meets the Eye
By Bob Barbera and Yingyao Hu. If there isn’t light in the 21st century world – or at least not as much light as economic statistics would suggest there should […]
CFE blog gets some notice
This blog has recently been listed on the Intelligent Economist’s list of the Top 100 economics blogs.
Women and careers in economics and finance
Friday, May 4th, 2018, the CFE together with the Economics Department launched the inaugural meeting of the “Women and Careers in Economics and Finance” lunch series. Our first speaker in […]
Faust to give the Félix Neubergh Lecture
On Oct. 12, Prof. Jon Faust will be giving the Félix Nuebergh Lecture in Gothenberg, Sweden. The topic will be “The Role of Macroeconomic Policy Analysis in the Great Inflation, […]
Genetics and Investment Returns
Fortune magazine is featuring exciting new genetic research by Johns Hopkins researchers. This might not seem so surprising, but we’re pretty sure it’s a first that the genetic research comes […]
JHU Student Solomon Polansky Publishes on Currency Pegs
Solomon Polansky, ’19, is a mechanical engineering major and varsity fencer. This past summer, instead of just poking around (as fencers are wont to do), Solomon had an internship at […]
Capital controls for Russia?
“The main lesson from international experience is that controls on capital outflows can work—but only if they are associated with a credible policy plan addressing the underlying cause of the […]
Stock market drop raises lost decade fears, JHU Experts Comment
The stock-market gyrations of the past week have been driven in part by worries that a stumbling Eurozone could drag down the global economy. Unemployment stands at 11.5 percent for […]
Dodging Bullets and Healing at a Quickening Pace
CFE and SPF Comparison Real GDP Unemployment Nonfarm Payrolls SPF Median CFE SPF Median CFE SPF Median CFE 2013Q2 1.8 2.6 7.6 7.5 179 196 2013Q3 2.3 2.6 7.5 7.3 […]